Deep Learning for Short-Term Precipitation Prediction in Four Major Indian Cities: A ConvLSTM Approach with Explainable AI

arXiv — cs.LGMonday, November 17, 2025 at 5:00:00 AM
A new study presents a deep learning framework for short-term precipitation prediction in Bengaluru, Mumbai, Delhi, and Kolkata, utilizing a hybrid CNN-ConvLSTM architecture. This model, trained on multi-decadal ERA5 reanalysis data, aims to enhance transparency in weather forecasting. The models achieved varying root mean square error (RMSE) values: 0.21 mm/day for Bengaluru, 0.52 mm/day for Mumbai, 0.48 mm/day for Delhi, and 1.80 mm/day for Kolkata. The approach emphasizes explainable AI to improve understanding of precipitation patterns.
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