An overview of macro tech trends for 2026, as "AI eats the world": bubbles, the AI platform shift, Big Tech FOMO, capex, Nvidia, US power backlogs, and more (Benedict Evans)

The U.S. Commerce Department has eased restrictions, allowing Nvidia to sell its H200 AI chips to approved customers in China, following a significant policy shift initiated by the Trump administration that lifted a previous export ban due to national security concerns. This decision marks a pivotal moment for Nvidia as it re-enters a crucial market after extensive lobbying efforts.

President Trump has signed an order imposing a 25% tariff on certain semiconductor imports, specifically targeting chips transshipped through the United States to other countries, as part of the Nvidia H200 deal. This tariff is a significant step in the U.S. government's strategy regarding semiconductor exports and trade relations.

The United States has imposed a 25% tariff on imports of certain advanced semiconductors, a move linked to an agreement allowing Nvidia Corp. to export its H200 artificial intelligence processors manufactured in Taiwan to China. This decision was endorsed by President Donald Trump, marking a significant shift in U.S. technology export policy.

Elon Musk is facing backlash over the misuse of Grok, an AI tool that has been implicated in generating sexualized images, prompting investigations by California's attorney general and a firm stance from the UK government against inappropriate content on social media platforms.

Nvidia has made its DLSS 4.5 technology available to all users through the Nvidia App, enhancing image quality while increasing GPU demands. This update follows a beta phase and is aimed at improving the gaming experience for users.

The U.S. has approved the export of Nvidia's H200 AI chips to China, yet reports indicate that China may block these imports at customs, creating a significant barrier to entry for the technology. This development follows extensive negotiations and a stipulation of a 25% fee on sales.