Enhancing Explainability in Solar Energetic Particle Event Prediction: A Global Feature Mapping Approach

arXiv — cs.LGThursday, November 13, 2025 at 5:00:00 AM
The recent development in predicting solar energetic particle (SEP) events introduces a framework that enhances model transparency and explainability, addressing the limitations of existing black-box models. By integrating global explanations and ad-hoc feature mapping, this approach allows solar physicists to gain deeper insights into the physical causes behind SEP events, which are critical for understanding hazardous radiation generated by solar flares and coronal mass ejections. The framework was validated with a dataset of 341 SEP events, including 244 significant proton events that surpassed the Space Weather Prediction Center's S1 threshold. This advancement not only improves the accuracy of predictions but also facilitates a more physics-informed understanding of these solar phenomena, which is essential for mitigating the risks associated with space weather.
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