Practical Global and Local Bounds in Gaussian Process Regression via Chaining

arXiv — cs.LGFriday, December 5, 2025 at 5:00:00 AM
  • A new framework for Gaussian process regression (GPR) has been proposed, which estimates upper and lower bounds on expected extreme values over unseen data without needing specific input features. This approach addresses limitations in existing methods that rely on posterior mean and variance estimates or hyperparameter tuning. The framework includes kernel-specific refinements for commonly used kernels like RBF and Matérn, resulting in tighter bounds than generic constructions.
  • This development is significant as it enhances the robustness of GPR, a widely used nonparametric Bayesian method in safety-critical applications. By providing more accurate predictive uncertainty estimates, the new framework can improve decision-making processes in various fields, including engineering and finance, where understanding uncertainty is crucial.
  • The introduction of this chaining-based framework reflects ongoing advancements in machine learning, particularly in the area of Gaussian process regression. It highlights a growing trend towards developing methods that improve predictive accuracy and reliability, addressing long-standing challenges in the field, such as the need for specific input features and the limitations of existing uncertainty bounds.
— via World Pulse Now AI Editorial System

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