Augur: Modeling Covariate Causal Associations in Time Series via Large Language Models

arXiv — cs.LGThursday, November 27, 2025 at 5:00:00 AM
  • Augur has introduced a novel framework for time series forecasting that leverages large language models (LLMs) to identify and utilize directed causal associations among covariates. This two-stage architecture involves a teacher LLM that infers a causal graph and a student agent that refines this graph for improved forecasting accuracy.
  • The development of Augur is significant as it addresses limitations in existing LLM-based forecasting methods, such as reliance on coarse statistical prompts and lack of interpretability, thereby enhancing predictive capabilities in various applications.
  • This advancement in LLMs reflects a broader trend in AI where models are increasingly being designed to integrate complex data types and improve decision-making processes, paralleling efforts in other domains like game theory and materials science, where LLMs are also being utilized to enhance predictive accuracy and operational efficiency.
— via World Pulse Now AI Editorial System

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