Asia Morning Briefing: Even Prediction Markets Didn’t See Bitcoin’s Sell-Off Coming

A bearish signal from Bitcoin’s SuperTrend indicator suggests a significant price decline, potentially leading to a 77% drop. This prediction is further supported by the Crypto Fear & Greed index, which indicates 'extreme fear' in the market.

Nvidia reported earnings that exceeded expectations, leading to a positive outlook that calmed jittery markets. Following this announcement, Bitcoin's price rebounded, reclaiming the $90,000 mark. The strong performance of Nvidia's data center revenue contributed significantly to this recovery in the cryptocurrency market.

Nvidia's earnings for Q3 exceeded expectations, resulting in a surge in its stock price and contributing to Bitcoin's recovery to $90,000, driven by strong data center revenue.

Bitcoin is currently trading around the $90,000 mark, reflecting a significant market shift. Analysts are divided on whether this decline below $100,000 signals the start of a bear market or if Bitcoin is poised for a recovery. Recent data indicates that nearly 7 million BTC are now at an unrealized loss, the highest since January 2024, highlighting the ongoing volatility and uncertainty in the cryptocurrency market.

VanEck analysts report that the recent selloff of Bitcoin is primarily driven by mid-cycle traders, while long-term investors, referred to as whales, continue to hold their positions. This trend indicates a divergence in market behavior, with short-term holders reacting to price fluctuations while long-term holders remain steadfast in their investment strategy.

Glassnode has reported a significant increase in panic selling as Bitcoin's price has fallen below $90,000 for the first time in seven months. This decline has raised concerns among investors, particularly younger holders, who have sold over 148,000 BTC at a loss. The market sentiment remains negative as analysts predict further downturns.

Bitcoin's price is experiencing significant bearish pressure, dropping below the $90,000 mark, which raises concerns about the onset of a bear market. The rapid decline has led to increased selling pressure, particularly among institutional investors, including Galaxy Digital, which has reduced its Bitcoin holdings. This situation reflects a broader trend of market volatility and uncertainty.

BlackRock's iShares Bitcoin Trust (IBIT) experienced a significant net outflow of $523 million on Tuesday, marking its largest single-day withdrawal since inception. This development reflects a growing caution among investors in the cryptocurrency market amid ongoing volatility.