A day after another billion-dollar liquidation cascade, veteran crypto analyst Trader Mayne says his core thesis is unchanged: the bull cycle’s top is “not in,” and the market is in the process of printing a weekly cycle low that could set up one more leg higher into year-end. “I’ve been banging on the drum about the high not being in,” he said in a November 5 video, adding that he remains “a BTC maxi from the spot perspective,” despite tactical longs and shorts that have been hit-and-miss during the recent volatility. Is The Bitcoin Bottom In? Mayne framed the selloff—coming less than a month after an almost $20 billion wipeout on October 10—as a feature, not a bug, of late-cycle price discovery. He argued that speculative leverage rapidly re-accumulated in altcoins and that majors still offer sufficient volatility with clearer structure. “People were right back on with the leverage… You really can’t teach an old dog new tricks,” he said, while emphasizing he now “primarily focus[es] on the majors” and holds a core spot stack he hasn’t sold. His near-term timing anchor is cycle theory. Drawing on the four-year template popularized by Bob Loukas, Mayne said he expects the broader crypto top to land between late 2025 and early 2026, but he stressed the immediate setup is about nailing a weekly low within a narrow window that “extends until about mid next week, November 10.” Related Reading: Analyst Predicts Bitcoin Price Crash To $87,000 If This Happens He wants to see “time and space away from this low” and a reclaim of the monthly open around $110,000–$112,000 to confirm that the decline has been exhausted. If that structure forms, he intends to treat $98,000 as the operative bull-market invalidation on a weekly-closing basis: “That will confirm to me that this is our bull market invalidation… at least in the worst case you have a cut point at like $100k Bitcoin.” Mayne supplemented the timing view with a cross-asset read that he says has been reliable in prior impulses: gold tends to rally first, with Bitcoin following “about 60 to 90 days later.” He cited chart work showing gold’s advance now roughly 80–90 days old, which, if the relationship holds, would “line up very well with Bitcoin being ready to make its next move.” He also expects the BTC-versus-gold cross to bounce, implying outperformance of Bitcoin over the precious metal through year-end: “I’m pretty confident this chart is due for a big bounce and we’re going to see gold underperform Bitcoin for the remainder of the year.” A more subjective—but, in his telling, telling—input is the absence of a true “blow-off” in Bitcoin versus the vertical arcs seen in AI-heavy equities and gold. With megacaps like Nvidia running hard since the spring and gold printing a sharp leg higher, he argued that “it just doesn’t sit right… that Bitcoin hasn’t had [its blow-off],” suggesting latent upside energy remains to be released if the weekly low locks in. On market microstructure and seasonality, Mayne pointed to early-month dynamics. In many green months, he said, the low forms in the first third of the month, analogous to how Monday’s range often frames the week for intraday traders. If November is destined to close higher, an early-month low coupled with a monthly-open reclaim would be consistent with his cycle read. “If we’re bullish for November… I want to be a bull above the monthly open,” he said. The scenario analysis was not one-sided. Mayne repeatedly acknowledged bear signals that have emerged on higher timeframes, including a weekly structure break, prior sweeps on the weekly and monthly, and building momentum divergences. Related Reading: Galaxy Digital Slashes Bitcoin EOY Price Target To $120,000 He warned of the possibility that the recent range resolves as distribution—“maybe the banks literally came in… and they’ve just been distributing on us here”—and laid out a lower-high path in which a rally fizzles beneath or just above the prior peak before breaking down. “There’s a world where we make an all-time high, but it’s just a weak one… you’re going to have the biggest bear div of all bear divs up here,” he said, cautioning that a marginal new high followed by a swift rejection would flip his posture. In the medium-term, he remains open to two competing macro arcs. In the base case, the classic four-year rhythm holds, the late-2025 window marks the cycle top, and 2026 skews bearish, though he expects drawdowns on Bitcoin to be “truncated” relative to prior 80% collapses given deeper institutional participation. In the alternative, the market “right-translates”—an atypical extension in which a new all-time high could print as late as Q1 2026—forcing a reassessment of the four-year template. Either way, he said, his plan is to sell strength on the next leg and reassess if the market presents higher-low continuation after a new high: “If the market appears to still be bullish, guess what? I can get back on the bull train.” Mayne also flagged the US dollar as a 2026 risk pivot, arguing the DXY is carving a “serious low” on multi-month and yearly structures that could precede a “deflationary rally.” While not a one-to-one driver, he said a strong dollar tends to pressure crypto and other risk assets. That macro overlay, combined with what he views as froth in AI-linked equities, underpins his caution beyond the next advance. At press time, Bitcoin traded at $103,412. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com

في تحديث حديث، أعرب المحلل المخضرم في العملات المشفرة تريدر مين عن تفاؤله بشأن مستقبل البيتكوين، مشيرًا إلى أن السوق مستعد لارتفاع محتمل. على الرغم من التقلبات الأخيرة وحدث تصفية بقيمة مليار دولار، يعتقد أن القاع الحالي قد يكون نقطة حاسمة لارتفاع السوق مع اقتراب نهاية العام. تظل ثقته في البيتكوين قوية، مما يشير إلى أنه يرى أن ذروة الدورة الصاعدة لا تزال قادمة. هذه الرؤية مهمة للمستثمرين الذين يبحثون عن رؤى حول اتجاهات السوق والفرص المحتملة.

En una actualización reciente, el veterano analista de criptomonedas Trader Mayne expresó optimismo sobre el futuro de Bitcoin, sugiriendo que el mercado está preparado para un posible repunte. A pesar de la reciente volatilidad y un evento de liquidación de mil millones de dólares, cree que el mínimo actual podría ser un punto crucial para un rally a medida que nos acercamos al final del año. Su confianza en Bitcoin sigue siendo fuerte, indicando que ve el pico del ciclo alcista aún por venir. Esta perspectiva es significativa para los inversores que buscan información sobre tendencias del mercado y oportunidades potenciales.

Dans une mise à jour récente, l'analyste crypto vétéran Trader Mayne a exprimé son optimisme quant à l'avenir du Bitcoin, suggérant que le marché est prêt pour une éventuelle hausse. Malgré la volatilité récente et un événement de liquidation d'un milliard de dollars, il croit que le bas actuel pourrait être un point crucial pour un rallye à l'approche de la fin de l'année. Sa confiance dans le Bitcoin reste forte, indiquant qu'il voit le pic du cycle haussier encore à venir. Cette perspective est significative pour les investisseurs à la recherche d'indices sur les tendances du marché et les opportunités potentielles.

In a recent update, veteran crypto analyst Trader Mayne expressed optimism about Bitcoin's future, suggesting that the market is poised for a potential upswing. Despite recent volatility and a billion-dollar liquidation event, he believes that the current low could be a crucial point for a rally as we approach year-end. His confidence in Bitcoin remains strong, indicating that he sees the bull cycle's peak still ahead. This perspective is significant for investors looking for insights into market trends and potential opportunities.

Did Bitcoin Just Bottom? Trader Says The Low Must Form Now

Lower adjusted net asset value multiple means Strategy can no longer issue equity at a premium, threatening its long-term plan to accumulate more bitcoin, analyst Brett Knoblauch wrote.

شهدت أسهم Strategy انخفاضًا كبيرًا، مما دفع Cantor إلى خفض هدفه السعري بسبب انخفاض مضاعف القيمة الصافية للأصول المعدلة. وأشار المحلل بريت كنوبلاخ إلى أن هذه الحالة تمنع Strategy من إصدار الأسهم بسعر أعلى، مما يهدد خططها طويلة الأجل لتجميع المزيد من البيتكوين.

Las acciones de Strategy han experimentado una fuerte caída, lo que llevó a Cantor a reducir su objetivo de precio debido a un múltiplo de valor neto de activos ajustado más bajo. El analista Brett Knoblauch destacó que esta situación impide que Strategy emita acciones a una prima, poniendo en peligro sus planes a largo plazo para acumular más bitcoin.

L'action de Strategy a connu une forte baisse, incitant Cantor à réduire son objectif de prix en raison d'un multiple de valeur nette d'actif ajustée plus bas. L'analyste Brett Knoblauch a souligné que cette situation empêche Strategy d'émettre des actions à un prix supérieur, mettant en péril ses plans à long terme d'accumulation de bitcoin.

Strategy's stock has experienced a significant decline, prompting Cantor to reduce its price target due to a lower adjusted net asset value multiple. Analyst Brett Knoblauch highlighted that this situation prevents Strategy from issuing equity at a premium, jeopardizing its long-term plans to accumulate more bitcoin.

Strategy Stock Still a Buy at Cantor After Plunge Forces Major Price Target Cut

The experience, which is designed to feel like Venmo or Cash App, allows users to earn yield on bitcoin (BTC) and stablecoins and borrow against their holdings.

تعاونت Blockdaemon وVerifiedX لإنشاء تجربة مالية لامركزية (DeFi) سهلة الاستخدام وذاتية الحفظ، تشبه تطبيقات الدفع الشهيرة مثل Venmo وCash App، مما يتيح للمستخدمين كسب عائد على البيتكوين (BTC) والعملات المستقرة مع إمكانية الاقتراض مقابل ممتلكاتهم.

Blockdaemon y VerifiedX han formado una alianza para crear una experiencia de finanzas descentralizadas (DeFi) fácil de usar y auto-custodiada, similar a aplicaciones de pago populares como Venmo y Cash App, que permite a los usuarios ganar rendimiento en bitcoin (BTC) y stablecoins mientras piden prestado contra sus tenencias.

Blockdaemon et VerifiedX ont formé un partenariat pour créer une expérience de finance décentralisée (DeFi) conviviale et auto-custodiale, similaire à des applications de paiement populaires comme Venmo et Cash App, permettant aux utilisateurs de gagner des rendements sur le bitcoin (BTC) et les stablecoins tout en empruntant contre leurs avoirs.

Blockdaemon and VerifiedX have partnered to create a user-friendly, self-custodial decentralized finance (DeFi) experience, akin to popular payment apps like Venmo and Cash App, enabling users to earn yield on bitcoin (BTC) and stablecoins while borrowing against their holdings.

Did Bitcoin Just Bottom? Trader Says The Low Must Form Now

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