Polymarket puts December rate-cut odds at 87% as crypto stocks climb

Prediction markets Polymarket and Kalshi have assigned mixed odds regarding Bitcoin's potential to surpass $100,000 by 2025, reflecting varying investor sentiment and market conditions. As of November 30, 2025, these platforms indicate a cautious outlook on Bitcoin's price trajectory amid ongoing fluctuations in the cryptocurrency market.

Bitcoin miners are facing a challenging December as the network's mining difficulty is set to increase from 149 trillion to nearly 150 trillion, while hashprice remains low at around $38.3 PH/s, just above the break-even point for many operations. This situation is exacerbated by a recent decline in Bitcoin's price, which has raised concerns among miners about the sustainability of their operations.

Hester Peirce, a commissioner at the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), emphasized that self-custody of assets and financial privacy are fundamental rights aligned with the principles of freedom upon which the U.S. was founded. This statement underscores the importance of individual control over digital assets in the evolving cryptocurrency landscape.

Hester Peirce, a commissioner at the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), has asserted that self-custody of assets and financial privacy are fundamental rights that align with the foundational principles of freedom in the United States. This statement underscores the importance of individual control over financial assets in the evolving cryptocurrency landscape.

Polymarket has reported an 87% probability of a U.S. rate cut in December, coinciding with a rise in crypto stocks, particularly for companies like Cleanspark, Riot, Cipher, and Circle. This marks a significant shift in market sentiment as traders respond to economic indicators and predictions.

CoinShares has officially withdrawn its bid to launch exchange-traded funds (ETFs) for XRP, Solana, and Litecoin in the United States, a decision that reflects ongoing regulatory challenges in the cryptocurrency market. This move comes amid a fluctuating environment for crypto ETFs, with significant outflows and shifting investor preferences.

Ark Invest has increased its investments in cryptocurrency-linked stocks, purchasing additional shares of Coinbase, Block, and Circle as the sector faces a significant downturn in valuations. This move comes amid a broader sell-off in the cryptocurrency market, reflecting a challenging environment for digital assets.