Traders Underpricing Risk of Higher Japan Yields, Vanguard Says

BloombergThursday, December 4, 2025 at 11:30:59 PM
Traders Underpricing Risk of Higher Japan Yields, Vanguard Says
  • Traders are increasingly betting on an interest-rate hike from the Bank of Japan (BOJ) this month, yet Vanguard Group Inc. warns that they may be underestimating the risk of even higher rates needed to combat persistent inflation.
  • This situation is critical for the BOJ as it navigates the delicate balance of tightening monetary policy while addressing inflationary pressures that have consistently exceeded its targets, which could impact economic stability.
  • The broader economic landscape shows mixed signals, with recent data indicating resilient factory activity and consumption, alongside rising inflation and a depreciating yen, suggesting that the BOJ's decisions will be closely scrutinized as they may need to act more aggressively than anticipated.
— via World Pulse Now AI Editorial System

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BOJ’s Ueda Says Unsure How Many More Rate Hikes He Will Make
NeutralFinancial Markets
Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda expressed uncertainty regarding the number of future interest rate hikes, as officials work to define the neutral rate that aligns with economic stability. This statement reflects ongoing deliberations within the central bank about monetary policy direction amid fluctuating economic indicators.