Goldman Sees Yen at 100 Over Next Decade as Policy Normalizes

Robert Kaplan, the former Dallas Fed President and current Vice Chair at Goldman Sachs, has indicated that the Federal Reserve is nearing its neutral interest rate, estimated between 3.50% and 3.75%. He advocates for a rate cut this month, emphasizing the importance of aligning with the Fed's inflation target of 2%. This insight is significant as it reflects the Fed's ongoing adjustments to economic conditions and could influence future monetary policy decisions.

In a significant move, the leaders of the US and Japan have signed a deal focusing on rare earths and nuclear power, just ahead of the anticipated meeting between Trump and Xi. This agreement not only strengthens the economic ties between the two nations but also enhances their strategic partnership in the face of global challenges. It highlights the importance of collaboration in securing critical resources and advancing energy initiatives, which could have far-reaching implications for both countries and their allies.

Stocks have reached a new record high, reflecting investor optimism as they closely monitor the Federal Reserve's upcoming decisions and corporate earnings reports. This upward trend in the market is significant as it indicates confidence in economic recovery and growth, which could lead to further investments and spending.

Goldman Sachs' Chief US Equity Strategist, David Kostin, remains optimistic about the S&P 500, maintaining his year-end target of 6,800 and projecting it could rise to 7,200 in the next year. This positive outlook is driven by expectations of strong earnings, which are likely to support equity growth. Kostin's insights, shared on Bloomberg, highlight the resilience of the market and could influence investor confidence moving forward.

In a recent meeting in Tokyo, former President Trump complimented Japan's first woman Prime Minister, Takaichi, on her 'very strong handshake.' This encounter highlights the ongoing diplomatic ties between the U.S. and Japan, showcasing a blend of personal rapport and cultural exchange. The meeting also featured gifts that catered to Trump's preferences, emphasizing a unique approach to diplomacy that resonates with both leaders' visions for a 'golden age' in their relationship.

Rob Kaplan, Vice Chairman of Goldman Sachs and former President of the Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, suggests that the Federal Reserve should consider the possibility of cutting rates in December. His insights come as the Fed prepares for a crucial decision, and he emphasizes the importance of adapting to the evolving landscape of the US economy, particularly with the increasing influence of AI. This discussion is significant as it highlights the potential shifts in monetary policy that could impact economic growth and stability.

In a recent meeting, Japanese executives responded positively to a call from former President Trump, pledging significant investments in the U.S. This commitment is crucial as it highlights the ongoing collaboration between Japan and the U.S., potentially boosting the American economy and creating jobs. Such investments can strengthen bilateral ties and enhance technological exchange, making it a win-win for both nations.

In a significant diplomatic move, former President Trump has praised Japan's first female leader, highlighting her leadership qualities and the importance of U.S.-Japan relations. This meeting also resulted in a landmark deal concerning rare earths, crucial for technology and defense industries. The agreement not only strengthens economic ties but also showcases a commitment to collaboration in securing essential resources, which is vital for both nations' future.

Today, the FTSE 100 index has seen a rise, contrasting with a slip in European markets and a weakening pound. This uptick is significant as it highlights the resilience of the UK stock market amid broader economic challenges in Europe. HSBC's gains contribute positively to this trend, suggesting investor confidence in the banking sector. Such movements can influence investment strategies and economic outlooks, making it a noteworthy development for both investors and analysts.

The S&P 500 is on a remarkable record run, fueled by growing optimism surrounding US-China trade relations. Investors are feeling more confident as negotiations appear to be progressing positively, which is crucial for the global economy. This surge in the stock market reflects a broader sentiment of hope, especially as the Federal Reserve begins its meeting, potentially influencing future monetary policy. The outcome of these discussions could have significant implications for market stability and growth.

CFRA has upgraded Skyworks Solutions stock to a Hold rating following the recent acquisition of Qorvo. This move is significant as it reflects confidence in Skyworks' strategic positioning and potential for growth in the semiconductor industry. Investors may find this upgrade reassuring, indicating that the company is on a stable path amidst market fluctuations.

Arcutis has reported its Q3 2025 earnings, surpassing expectations and leading to a significant surge in its stock price. This positive performance highlights the company's strong market position and effective strategies, which are crucial for attracting investor confidence and fostering future growth.

Forestar Group has reported its Q4 2025 earnings, surpassing expectations and showcasing strong financial performance. This positive outcome is significant as it reflects the company's effective strategies and resilience in a competitive market, potentially boosting investor confidence and paving the way for future growth.

FEMSA has reported its Q3 2025 earnings, showcasing growth in certain areas, although net income has seen a decline. This mixed performance highlights the company's resilience in a challenging market, but the drop in net income raises questions about future profitability. Investors and analysts will be keen to see how FEMSA navigates these challenges moving forward.