World AffairsFrance 24Wed, Dec 3, 2025, 1:47 PMNegative

'For Maduro, the calculation is whether he can survive,' Venezuela expert says

Venezuelan expert Christopher Sabatini stated that President Nicolas Maduro's primary concern is his survival amid escalating pressure from the United States, particularly from President Donald Trump, who has intensified threats and offered safe passage for Maduro to leave the country. This situation reflects the ongoing turmoil in Venezuela as the government faces increasing external and internal challenges.

'For Maduro, the calculation is whether he can survive,' Venezuela expert says

WPN Brief

  • What Happened

    Venezuelan expert Christopher Sabatini stated that President Nicolas Maduro's primary concern is his survival amid escalating pressure from the United States, particularly from President Donald Trump, who has intensified threats and offered safe passage for Maduro to leave the country. This situation reflects the ongoing turmoil in Venezuela as the government faces increasing external and internal challenges.

  • Why It Matters

    The implications of this development are significant for Maduro, as the U.S. administration's aggressive stance could lead to a potential regime change in Venezuela. Trump's administration has indicated that it may need to move beyond verbal threats if Maduro does not comply with demands to step down, which raises the stakes for the Venezuelan leader.

  • The Bigger Picture

    The broader context reveals a pattern of escalating tensions between the U.S. and Venezuela, marked by military buildups and severe diplomatic confrontations. Recent actions, including the designation of Maduro's associates as terrorists and the closure of Venezuelan airspace, highlight the U.S. strategy to exert maximum pressure on Maduro's regime, suggesting that the situation could lead to military intervention or significant geopolitical shifts in the region.

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