Variational Uncertainty Decomposition for In-Context Learning

arXiv — stat.MLMonday, December 8, 2025 at 5:00:00 AM
  • A new framework for variational uncertainty decomposition in in-context learning has been introduced, aiming to enhance the reliability of large language models (LLMs) by addressing the sources of uncertainty in their predictions. This framework seeks to optimize auxiliary queries to estimate aleatoric uncertainty without the need for explicit sampling from the latent parameter posterior.
  • Understanding and quantifying uncertainty in LLMs is crucial for their application in various domains, as it can significantly impact the reliability and trustworthiness of their predictions. This development could lead to improved performance in tasks requiring high-stakes decision-making.
  • The challenges faced by LLMs in aligning outputs with desired probability distributions highlight ongoing issues in the field of artificial intelligence. As researchers explore methods to enhance context-awareness and uncertainty estimation, the findings suggest a need for continuous improvement in LLM capabilities to meet the demands of diverse applications.
— via World Pulse Now AI Editorial System

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