Distance Is All You Need: Radial Dispersion for Uncertainty Estimation in Large Language Models

arXiv — cs.LGFriday, December 5, 2025 at 5:00:00 AM
  • A new metric called Radial Dispersion Score (RDS) has been introduced for estimating uncertainty in large language models (LLMs). This model-agnostic metric measures the radial dispersion of sampled generations in embedding space, providing a simpler alternative to existing methods that rely on complex semantic clustering. RDS has shown superior performance across four challenging QA datasets, enhancing the reliability of LLM outputs.
  • The introduction of RDS is significant as it simplifies the process of uncertainty estimation in LLMs, which is crucial for developing reliable AI systems. By outperforming nine strong baselines, RDS not only improves the detection of hallucinations in model outputs but also facilitates applications like confidence-based filtering and best-of-$N$ selection, potentially leading to more trustworthy AI interactions.
  • This development highlights ongoing challenges in the field of AI, particularly regarding the reliability and consistency of LLMs in various contexts. As researchers continue to explore uncertainty quantification and model performance, the introduction of RDS aligns with broader efforts to enhance LLM capabilities, addressing issues such as context drift and user perception of model outputs, which remain critical for user trust and effective AI deployment.
— via World Pulse Now AI Editorial System

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