Bitcoin Fear & Greed Index Crashes To Lowest Level In 6 Months, Is A Market Rebound Coming?

Bitcoin is nearing a 'Death Cross', a significant technical indicator that occurs when a short-term moving average crosses below a long-term moving average. This pattern often signals a potential downturn in market momentum. As Bitcoin approaches this critical juncture, it is also testing major historical patterns that could influence its future trajectory.

Tom Lee, a prominent figure in cryptocurrency, has stated that Ether is entering a 'supercycle' similar to Bitcoin's past performance. This prediction has sparked criticism from various quarters, with skeptics questioning the sustainability of such a trend. Lee's assertion comes amid ongoing discussions about the cryptocurrency market's dynamics and the potential for significant price movements.

Bitcoin experienced a significant decline this week, causing the Crypto Fear & Greed Index to drop to 10, indicating extreme fear among investors. This has raised questions about whether this marks the bottom of the current cycle or if further declines are imminent, following a 25% correction. Retail panic is evident, with negative funding rates on some derivatives desks. While some traders express bearish sentiments, others are quietly increasing their positions. Veteran analysts argue that bull markets typically do not end in such a manner.

Bitcoin has gained significant attention as a valuable store of wealth in recent years, with institutional adoption reaching new heights in 2025. Harvard University, known as one of the most prestigious academic institutions globally, has made a notable investment in Bitcoin. In August, Harvard revealed an investment portfolio that includes $117 million worth of Bitcoin ETF holdings, which have surged by 257% in the third quarter. This increase reflects the growing interest and confidence in Bitcoin as a viable investment option.

Michael Saylor, the executive chairman of Strategy, stated that Bitcoin has reached its market floor and that most liquidation selling has been removed from the system. In an interview with Grant Cardone, Saylor expressed optimism about Bitcoin's stabilization, suggesting that the worst of the market downturn is over.

Bitcoin's price has been hovering around $95,000 after showing some strength on November 15. Analyst Burak Kesmeci noted on social media that Bitcoin appears to be indicating a potential rebound. He suggested that Bitcoin could rise to $110,000 or fall to $85,000 based on various technical indicators. Notably, the Bitcoin fear (VIX) score has been above the critical level of 16.50 for two consecutive days, marking the first time in 250 days this has occurred, which suggests a buy opportunity. Kesmeci's analysis indicates a cautious optimism about Bitcoin's future price movements.

Bitcoin's price has been fluctuating around $95,455 as of November 16, 2025, with a market capitalization of $1.90 trillion and a trading volume of $51.29 billion. Analysts are debating whether the cryptocurrency is poised for a bounce or a breakdown, as market sentiment remains cautious. The price range has been noted between $93,961 and $96,736, indicating a period of uncertainty for traders.

Eric Trump, speaking at Yahoo Finance’s Invest event, expressed his belief that Bitcoin will surpass gold as a primary store of value. He highlighted Bitcoin's capped supply of 21 million coins and increasing institutional investments as significant factors driving this shift. Trump also predicted a long-term price target of $1 million per Bitcoin, emphasizing its advantages in transferring value quickly and cheaply across borders. He referred to Bitcoin as 'digital gold' and a hedge against inflation and corruption.