Copper Trades Near Record as US Stockpiling Spurs Supply Crunch

The Federal Reserve's upcoming interest rate decision and ongoing trade discussions with the United States are anticipated to significantly influence India's financial markets this week. Investors are closely monitoring these developments as they could impact currency valuations and stock prices.

Oil prices have stabilized at two-week highs, buoyed by expectations of a potential interest rate cut by the US Federal Reserve and ongoing geopolitical risks, particularly related to the Ukraine conflict. This stability follows fluctuations influenced by recent developments in crude inventories and market sentiment.

French President Emmanuel Macron has warned that the European Union (EU) may impose tariffs on China due to a significant trade surplus, criticizing the US approach to China as detrimental to Europe's market position. He noted that the US strategy has redirected Chinese goods towards the EU, exacerbating the trade imbalance.

A recent survey indicates that European CEOs are increasingly pessimistic about the economic outlook in Europe, showing a preference for investing in the US instead. This sentiment reflects a broader trend of declining confidence among business leaders in the region, as they navigate a challenging economic environment.

America's economic divide is deepening, with the fortunes of the rich and poor diverging significantly, posing a challenge for former President Trump as he approaches the midterm elections. This shift has transformed the economy from a potential asset into a liability for his political aspirations.

Silver and copper have emerged as the leading metals for investment, surpassing gold as traders anticipate significant price rallies heading into 2026. This shift is largely driven by fears of supply shortages and increased demand for these metals as safe-haven assets amidst economic uncertainty.

Vietnam has achieved a record trade surplus with the United States, driven by a surge in exports despite existing tariffs. This development highlights the resilience of Vietnam's economy and its ability to navigate trade challenges effectively.

Steven Rattner, from Willett Advisors, expressed concerns about the U.S. economy's dual nature, highlighting weak consumer spending alongside a thriving tech sector. He emphasized that China is advancing rapidly in electric vehicles, biotechnology, and artificial intelligence, suggesting that U.S. tariffs are unlikely to impede this progress. Rattner advocates for U.S. innovation and effective domestic policies as the primary means of competition against China.